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Population et inclusivité

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Population dynamics and inclusive growth are essential factors in determining the social and economic well-being of economies. Understanding how demographic trends intersect with policies aimed at fostering inclusiveness provides valuable insights into an economy's development potential. This collection of thematic insights focuses on key areas where population and inclusiveness intersect.

Population growth robust in Africa, while Europe stagnates

Annual population growth, percentage, 2023

UN Trade and Development, UNCTADstat.

In 2023, India became the most populous country in the world, followed by China. Population was estimated to fall in 46 economies in 2023 with Ukraine as the country with the steepest population decline of 8.4 per cent. On the other end of the spectrum, Oman recorded the highest population growth with 6.5 per cent. 

At the regional level, Europe experienced a population decline of 0.2 per cent, which is projected to continue to 2050. Africa remains the fastest growing region with 2.3 per cent growth in 2023 and will remain so until 2050 though at a more moderate pace. The populations of the remaining regions, America, Asia and Oceania will continue to grow until 2050 with growth rates comprised between 0.4 and 0.9 per cent.

Data updated on 11 Sep 2024

World population growth rate to halve by 2050

Annual growth rate of world population, percentage

UN Trade and Development, UNCTADstat.

The world population has grown by 0.9 per cent in 2023, while growth is estimated to halve by 2050. Since the late 1980s, population growth has gradually slowed down. This slowdown was especially accentuated during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. As a result, the world population is expected to pass the 9 billion mark by 2037.

Data updated on 11 Sep 2024

Developing economies experience fastest population growth

World population by group of economies, billions

UN Trade and Development, UNCTADstat.

Over the last 25 years, the world population has increased by 2.1 billion people. Almost all this growth has occurred in developing economies, mainly in Asia and Oceania (1.1 billion) and Africa (0.7 billion). In 2023, five in six people in the world lived in a developing economy. 68 per cent of the population in the developing world lives in Asia and Oceania, 10 per cent in America and 22 per cent in Africa. 

In the coming 25 years, Africa’s share of the global population should increase to 29 per cent, mostly at the expense of Asia and Oceania, while the share of America should remain stable at 9 per cent. In 2050, six in seven people in the world will live in developing countries.

Data updated on 11 Sep 2024

Urbanization is fastest in developing economies

Urban population by group of economies, percentage of total population

UN Trade and Development, UNCTADstat.

All over the world, a growing proportion of the population lives in cities. In 2013, 52.9 per cent lived in urban areas. The share of urban population was projected to have increased to 57.3 per cent in 2023. It is generally higher in the developed (79.9 per cent) than in the developing world (52.8 per cent). In least developed countries, the people living in urban areas are in the minority (36.4 per cent). 

Over the last ten years, urbanization has been most pronounced in developing economies, especially developing Asia and Oceania, which saw the urban rate increase from 44.6 in 2013 to 51.1 per cent in 2023. Developing Africa has seen a 4.7 percentage point increase in the same period. By contrast, the share of people living in urban areas was already high in developing economies of the Americas and further urbanization has been relatively modest.

Data updated on 11 Sep 2024

Metadonnées

Data from 1950 to 2024 are estimates and data from 2025 to 2050 are projections (medium fertility variant). 

Based on total de facto population in a country, area or region as of 1 July of the indicated year. 

The annual average growth rate is defined as the average exponential rate of growth of the population over a given period, expressed as a percentage. It is calculated as 100*ln(Pt/P0)/n where P is the total population and n stands for the length of the period. 

Full metadata are available in our Data Centre for: